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Why AI Won't Replace Labor
The hidden bottlenecks that keep humans at the center of the economy
Feb 26
•
Alfie Kerswell
11
2
Equities Are Skewed To The Downside
6 Charts Showing Equity Weakness
Feb 19
•
Alfie Kerswell
12
7
1
Against Consensus: Dollar Upside Ahead
Why Lower Rates Won't Weaken the Dollar
Feb 15
•
Alfie Kerswell
18
10 Charts Signaling a Small Equity Drawdown
Why structural tailwinds remain, but shifting cross-asset flows and extreme positioning suggest a 3-5% reset is overdue
Feb 2
•
Alfie Kerswell
14
3
1
January 2026
The Equity Playbook
Strategic Positioning Through The Economic Cycle
Jan 29
•
Alfie Kerswell
11
4
Why the Macro Still Works for Equities
Growth is holding up, policy is anchored, and rates are no longer doing the damage
Jan 23
9
1
1
The UK Trade Nobody Is Positioned For
Why disinflation, labour-market deterioration, and fiscal drag point to a deeper BoE cutting cycle that markets still underprice
Jan 13
•
Alfie Kerswell
16
13
2
Industrials: The Marginal Driver of Equities Right Now?
How regime dynamics, forward demand, and capital discipline are lifting the equity tape
Jan 8
•
Alfie Kerswell
7
1
1
Is Inflation Shifting?
Inflation Is Repositioning as Swaps Get Ahead of the Data
Jan 5
•
Alfie Kerswell
11
The ONE Thing That Could Reprice The Next Fed Meeting
A small shift here moves everything
Jan 1
•
Alfie Kerswell
14
8
1
December 2025
2026 Outlook: Curve Regimes, Real Rates & Equities
Mapping real rates, yield curve regimes, and equity outcomes into 2026
Dec 29, 2025
•
Alfie Kerswell
27
6
1
Equities: The Current Setup
The Transmission of Inflation, Growth, and Rates Into Equities
Dec 16, 2025
•
Alfie Kerswell
25
7
2
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