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Why The Dollar Will Soon Be The Greatest Assymetric Position
The Forward Curve Is The Trigger. The Fiscal Backdrop Is What Makes It Structural
Jul 6
•
Alfie Kerswell
30
14
4
Growth Holds, Inflation Fades
Growth risk contained as inflation continues its descent
Jul 3
•
Alfie Kerswell
58
1
56
Low Growth Risk, Weakening Inflation Risk
The war premium is leaving energy, and it's taking inflation with it
Jul 2
•
Alfie Kerswell
15
June 2026
Markets Have Decided the Rules Don't Apply Anymore
The Bull Market That Refuses to Read the Macro Manual
Jun 24
•
Alfie Kerswell
13
2
1
Equities Are Shrugging Off Everything That Should Be Killing Them
Why equities are ignoring dollar strength, rising real rates, and long-end pressure, and what it means when they stop
Jun 22
•
Alfie Kerswell
25
5
1
My Macro Frameworks & Current Market Views (VIDEO)
A deep dive into the analytical frameworks shaping my macro views and how they map to current market positioning
Jun 19
•
Alfie Kerswell
12
1
5
May 2026
My Next Trade: Single Name Equity Analysis
Single Name Equity Analysis
May 27
•
Alfie Kerswell
14
1
Duration Risk, Not Credit Risk
When higher inflation is a duration problem, not a credit problem
May 21
•
Alfie Kerswell
25
6
5
The Oil Shock, Rates, and the Recession Call (Part 2)
The DAX is the cleanest expression of the asymmetry
May 7
•
Alfie Kerswell
21
3
2
The Oil Shock, Rates, and the Recession Call (Part 1)
Why the data and price action are NOT signalling a global recession
May 4
•
Alfie Kerswell
23
9
April 2026
ECB Preview: European Equities
An Overview Of The Assymetrical Setup In European Equities
Apr 30
•
Alfie Kerswell
17
1
Part 2: What If The Fed Look Through Inflation?
The Fed Looking Through Inflation: What It Means Across Every Asset Class
Apr 20
•
Alfie Kerswell
18
2
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