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The Macro Regime: FX, Equities & Rates
The Next Steps In The Macro Regime
Apr 9
•
Alfie Kerswell
12
3
1
March 2026
The Stagflation Label Is Wrong
Why The 2022 Comparison Doesn't Hold
Mar 26
•
Alfie Kerswell
19
3
FOMC, The War & The China Play
How Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk & Strategic Rivalry Are Reshaping the Global Macro Landscape
Mar 18
•
Alfie Kerswell
28
1
Navigating Long US Equities Amid Persistent Geopolitical Tensions
Why the Risk Premium Creates the Opportunity... Eventually
Mar 11
•
Alfie Kerswell
26
10
2
Equities, bonds & FX: What's next?
How the war could transmit across equities, FX and bonds
Mar 9
•
Alfie Kerswell
52
8
9
February 2026
Why AI Won't Replace Labor
The hidden bottlenecks that keep humans at the center of the economy
Feb 26
•
Alfie Kerswell
15
3
Equities Are Skewed To The Downside
6 Charts Showing Equity Weakness
Feb 19
•
Alfie Kerswell
12
7
1
Against Consensus: Dollar Upside Ahead
Why Lower Rates Won't Weaken the Dollar
Feb 15
•
Alfie Kerswell
21
10 Charts Signaling a Small Equity Drawdown
Why structural tailwinds remain, but shifting cross-asset flows and extreme positioning suggest a 3-5% reset is overdue
Feb 2
•
Alfie Kerswell
14
3
1
January 2026
The Equity Playbook
Strategic Positioning Through The Economic Cycle
Jan 29
•
Alfie Kerswell
12
4
Why the Macro Still Works for Equities
Growth is holding up, policy is anchored, and rates are no longer doing the damage
Jan 23
9
1
1
The UK Trade Nobody Is Positioned For
Why disinflation, labour-market deterioration, and fiscal drag point to a deeper BoE cutting cycle that markets still underprice
Jan 13
•
Alfie Kerswell
16
13
2
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